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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sletner
Jerv
U U S T S
3–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
79%
Average goals
3,4
3,4
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 2. · Fredrikstad 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 15 10 2 3 +19 32
2 Jerv 14 8 3 3 +1 27
3 Fredrikstad 14 7 5 2 +12 26
4 Aalesund 15 7 5 3 +5 26
5 Sogndal 15 7 4 4 +8 25
6 Ull/Kisa 15 6 4 5 +1 22
7 Asane 15 6 2 7 -3 20
8 Start 15 5 4 6 +0 19
9 Raufoss 15 5 3 7 +0 18
10 Bryne 15 5 3 7 -2 18
11 KFUM Oslo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
12 Ranheim 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Sandnes ULF 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Strommen 15 2 8 5 -5 14
15 Stjørdals-Blink 15 4 1 10 -17 13
16 Grorud 15 3 3 9 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Fredrikstad
1–0 S. Ibrahim
6′
19′
T. Ismaheel 1–1
2–1 D. Arrocha
33′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Hansen
↦ P. Aukland
K. Novak 🔁
↦ D. Arrocha
49′
F. Schroter 🟨
56′
59′
🔁 N. Solberg
↦ H. Johansen
59′
🔁 N. Williams
↦ R. Alba
71′
M. Nielsen 2–2
3–2 Willis Furtado
72′
T. Kok 🔁
↦ J. Norheim
73′
Pibe 🔁
↦ F. Schröter
73′
73′
🔁 A. Hadzic
↦ O. Øby
79′
🟨 A. Hadzic
84′
🔁 Maikel
↦ T. Drage
Ikhsan Fandi 🔁
↦ Pibe
88′
T. Zernichow 🔁
↦ T. Wichne
89′
90′
🟨 A. Aleesami
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
14 D. Arrocha
19 I. Mafi
16 J. Norheim
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
6 M. Wichmann
7 Willis Furtado
9 D. Campos
11 F. Schröter
17 S. Ibrahim
Bench (9)
4 K. Novak
10 T. Kok
39 Pibe
99 Ikhsan Fandi
8 T. Zernichow
13 H. Suggelia
18 J. Solli
30 A. Olsvoll
32 T. Ness

Coach: A. Sandstø

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
5 P. Aukland
23 A. Aleesami
7 T. Drage
20 H. Åsheim
19 O. Øby
9 H. Johansen
15 R. Alba
12 T. Ismaheel
Bench (8)
2 A. Hansen
6 N. Solberg
24 N. Williams
28 A. Hadzic
11 Maikel
13 A. Karstensen
14 J. Lindström
18 L. Begby

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.