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Championship
Referee: J Linington
0–1
Full-time
West Brom
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterborough West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
75%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Championship · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 53%
25%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
75%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
5 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Peterborough 19. · West Brom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 West Brom 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 QPR 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Huddersfield 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Luton 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Stoke 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Cardiff 6 2 3 1 +3 9
8 Bournemouth 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Coventry 5 3 0 2 +0 9
10 Preston 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 +4 8
12 Blackburn 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Bristol City 5 2 1 2 +0 7
14 Middlesbrough 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Barnsley 5 1 3 1 +0 6
16 Derby 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Millwall 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Hull 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 Peterborough 4 1 1 2 -3 4
20 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 -4 4
21 Swansea 5 1 1 3 -4 4
22 Reading 5 1 0 4 -6 3
23 Blackpool 5 0 2 3 -4 2
24 Sheffield United 5 0 2 3 -6 2
25 Nott'm Forest 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Peterborough West Brom
Oliver Norburn 🟨
8′
Half-time 0–0
J. Taylor 🔁
↦ O. Norburn
46′
46′
🔁 A. Reach
↦ K. Bartley
57′
🔁 J. Hugill
↦ G. Diangana
S. Dembélé 🔁
↦ J. Marriott
60′
64′
🟨 Sam Johnstone
70′
🟨 Alex Mowatt
Nathan Thompson 🟨
71′
J. Knight 🔁
↦ J. Grant
81′
82′
🟨 Darnell Furlong
94′
S. Ajayi 0–1
M. Phillips
95′
🟨 Dara O'Shea
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Peterborough

3-4-1-2
1 C. Pym G
4 N. Thompson D
3 D. Butler D
6 F. Kent D
18 O. Norburn M
23 J. Ward M
7 S. Szmodics F
11 J. Grant M
16 H. Burrows M
9 J. Clarke-Harris F
14 J. Marriott F
Bench (7)
8 J. Taylor
10 S. Dembélé
12 J. Knight
2 R. Edwards
21 J. Tomlinson
26 J. Randall
28 W. Blackmore

Coach: D. Ferguson

West Brom

3-4-3
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
3 C. Townsend M
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong M
4 D. O'Shea D
10 M. Phillips F
8 J. Livermore M
27 A. Mowatt M
11 G. Diangana F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
20 A. Reach
17 J. Hugill
41 T. Fellows
36 A. Palmer
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
23 R. Snodgrass
33 C. Taylor

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.