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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Bayern Munich
S U S U S
5–0
Full-time
Hertha
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 8. · Hertha 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
2 Freiburg 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 FC Koln 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Bochum 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Bielefeld 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Union Berlin 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 M'gladbach 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Greuther Furth 3 0 1 2 -7 1
17 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 Hertha 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Hertha
1–0 T. Müller
A. Davies
6′
20′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ S. Jovetić
Serge Gnabry ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
35′
35′
ℹ️ Serge Gnabry
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 R. Lewandowski
35′
Half-time 2–0
T. Nianzou 🔁
↦ D. Upamecano
46′
3–0 J. Musiala
T. Müller
49′
60′
🔁 L. Klünter
↦ D. Selke
L. Sané 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
61′
61′
🔁 I. Belfodil
↦ D. Lukébakio
61′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ D. Zeefuik
K. Coman 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
67′
4–0 R. Lewandowski
L. Sané
70′
78′
🔁 V. Darida
↦ S. Serdar
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ T. Müller
81′
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ J. Stanišić
81′
5–0 R. Lewandowski
T. Nianzou
84′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
4 N. Süle D
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies D
44 J. Stanišić D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 S. Gnabry M
6 J. Kimmich M
42 J. Musiala M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
23 T. Nianzou
10 L. Sané
11 K. Coman
13 E. Choupo-Moting
20 B. Sarr
3 O. Richards
15 C. Richards
24 C. Tolisso
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
4 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
42 D. Zeefuik D
8 S. Serdar M
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
19 S. Jovetić M
7 D. Selke F
11 D. Lukébakio M
Bench (9)
16 J. Dilrosun
13 L. Klünter
14 I. Belfodil
23 M. Richter
6 V. Darida
25 J. Torunarigha
30 D. Jastrzembski
12 N. Körber
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
7,96
B
14,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,26
U2,5
3,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.