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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,4

0,6

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 5

22 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Valenciennes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Nimes	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Paris FC	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Sochaux	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Caen	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Ajaccio	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Auxerre	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Le Havre	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Rodez	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Pau FC	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Quevilly Rouen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Niort	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Guingamp	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Bastia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Valenciennes	5	1	2	2	-5	5
16	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Dunkerque	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Nancy	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nimes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Le Havre	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Niort	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bastia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Dunkerque	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Nimes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sochaux	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Guingamp	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Le Havre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Quevilly Rouen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Niort	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Rodez	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Caen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bastia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Ajaccio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Dunkerque	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.