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Super League
Referee: S Koubarakis
Larisa
U U T U T
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
0,7
2,5
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 14. · Asteras Tripolis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Aris 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Volos NFC 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 PAOK 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 AEK 3 2 0 1 +4 6
7 OFI Crete 5 1 3 1 -2 6
8 Atromitos 5 1 2 2 -5 5
9 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Giannina 4 0 3 1 -1 3
11 Apollon 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Panathinaikos 5 0 2 3 -3 2
13 Panetolikos 4 0 2 2 -4 2
14 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Lamia 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Asteras Tripolis
Radomir Milosavljević 🟨
36′
42′
J. Barrales 0–1
G. Kotsiras
Half-time 0–1
Adnan Šećerović 🟨
51′
52′
🟨 Sito
N. Trujić 🔁
↦ G. Torje
56′
61′
🔁 Léo Tilica
↦ Sito
61′
🔁 Luis Fernández
↦ Adrián Riera
68′
🟨 Dani Suarez
A. Nikolias 🔁
↦ A. Šećerović
71′
O. Grigoropoulos 🔁
↦ M. Bertos
71′
72′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ J. Munafo
73′
🟨 Luis Fernández
74′
🟨 Christos Tasoulis
75′
J. Barrales 0–2
Léo Tilica
Alexandros Nikolias 🟨
79′
G. Zacharakis 🔁
↦ V. Platelas
85′
S. Glinos 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
85′
88′
🔁 Borja Fernández
↦ Xesc Regis
89′
🔁 B. Orosco
↦ J. Barrales
1–2 M. Mužek
S. Glinos
89′
Nikola Trujić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Borja Fernández
94′
Luis Fernández 1–3
Borja Fernández
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Larisa

4-2-3-1
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
7 S. Filip D
13 M. Mužek D
4 T. Iliadis D
6 T. Sparv M
10 G. Torje M
11 V. Platelas M
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
17 D. Pinakas F
Bench (9)
92 N. Trujić
88 A. Nikolias
24 O. Grigoropoulos
21 G. Zacharakis
14 S. Glinos
19 V. Bajić
23 G. Maidanos
44 N. Gkotzamanidis
66 Ali Ghazal

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
15 Dani Suárez D
3 C. Tasoulis M
4 T. Pasalidis D
27 G. Kotsiras D
12 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
9 J. Barrales F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (9)
7 Léo Tilica
10 Luis Fernández
17 M. Iglesias
8 Borja Fernández
18 B. Orosco
99 A. Tsiftsis
19 Pepe Castaño
2 Rubén García
97 S. Baba

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U
2,85
B ✓
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Koubarakis · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.