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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Stromsgodset
U U U U U
1–1
Full-time
Start
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
10 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 10. · Start 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 21 18 2 1 +46 56
2 Molde 21 13 1 7 +26 40
3 Rosenborg 20 11 5 4 +19 38
4 Valerenga 20 10 5 5 +6 35
5 Odd 20 11 2 7 +5 35
6 Kristiansund 20 9 7 4 +12 34
7 Viking 20 8 5 7 +0 29
8 Sarpsborg 08 20 8 3 9 +0 27
9 Stabaek 20 6 7 7 -7 25
10 Stromsgodset 20 5 8 7 -9 23
11 Brann 21 6 5 10 -10 23
12 Sandefjord 20 7 2 11 -10 23
13 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Start 20 4 6 10 -15 18
15 Mjondalen 21 5 2 14 -19 17
16 Aalesund 20 1 4 15 -32 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Start
Jack Ipalibo 🟨
38′
39′
C. Bolaños 0–1
Half-time 0–1
66′
🟨 Mohamed El Makrini
Jack Ipalibo 🟨
68′
Jack Ipalibo 🟥
68′
69′
🔁 E. Marković
↦ C. Bolaños
76′
🔁 J. Jørgensen
↦ J. Daland
76′
🔁 E. Segberg
↦ E. Schulze
77′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ E. Børufsen
1–1 M. Mawa
78′
Niklas Gunnarsson 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ H. Robstad
A. Stenseth 🔁
↦ M. Mawa
86′
Nicholas Mickelson 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
14 N. Mickelson D
4 D. Tchamba D
11 K. Tokstad F
20 M. Maigaard M
8 J. Hove M
42 I. Jack M
88 L. Salvesen F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (9)
51 A. Stenseth
58 S. Hammershaug
80 A. Nyhagen
17 T. Gulliksen
70 S. Hanssen
64 S. Pop
30 F. Holst-Larsen
40 M. Sætra
9 M. Mølvadgaard

Coach: H. Pedersen

Start

4-1-4-1
12 A. Wichne G
3 V. Bergan D
15 H. Robstad D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
14 E. Børufsen M
4 M. El Makrini M
30 C. Bolaños M
11 E. Schulze M
7 K. Kabran M
9 M. Ramsland F
Bench (8)
8 E. Marković
6 J. Jørgensen
23 E. Segberg
20 M. Bringaker
27 E. Wichne
16 M. Ugland
10 S. Skålevik
50 F. Hansen

Coach: J. Hardarson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.