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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
St Etienne
S S U T T
1–3
Full-time
Nice
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Nice 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +13 15
2 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Montpellier 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Monaco 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Lyon 7 2 4 1 +3 10
9 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
11 Angers 7 3 1 3 -7 10
12 Bordeaux 7 2 3 2 +2 9
13 Brest 7 3 0 4 -4 9
14 Metz 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Nantes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -2 7
18 Strasbourg 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Nice
8′
P. Lees Melou 0–1
30′
A. Gouiri 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. Bouanga 🔁
↦ J. Krasso
46′
M. Trauco 🔁
↦ S. Sow
46′
49′
🟨 Hassane Kamara
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
57′
1–2 A. Aouchiche
R. Hamouma
57′
58′
🟨 Stanley N'Soki
67′
🟨 Walter Benítez
68′
🟨 Jordan Lotomba
Harold Moukoudi 🟨
72′
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
72′
72′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ K. Thuram-Ulien
73′
🟨 Robson Bambu
B. Benkhedim 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
79′
82′
🔁 Danilo Barbosa
↦ Rony Lopes
83′
🔁 D. Ndoye
↦ A. Gouiri
Romain Hamouma 🟨
90′
91′
M. Maolida 1–3
D. Ndoye
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St Etienne

3-4-1-2
30 J. Moulin G
2 H. Moukoudi D
4 P. Retsos D
31 N. Sissoko M
35 S. Sow D
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
17 A. Aouchiche F
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
21 R. Hamouma F
14 J. Krasso F
Bench (9)
20 D. Bouanga
13 M. Trauco
33 L. Gourna-Douath
32 M. Rivera
15 B. Benkhedim
1 S. Bajic
37 T. Tormin
34 A. Moueffek
36 M. Tshibuabua

Coach: C. Puel

Nice

3-4-2-1
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 J. Lotomba M
2 S. N'Soki D
3 Robson Bambu D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
13 H. Kamara M
8 P. Lees Melou F
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
22 Rony Lopes F
11 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
7 M. Maolida
21 Danilo Barbosa
14 D. Ndoye
28 H. Boudaoui
30 Y. Cardinale
27 A. Trouillet
24 A. Pelmard
33 T. Pionnier
5 F. Daniliuc

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,25
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.