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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Porto

S T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/2 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Porto 2. · Guimaraes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Tondela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Gil Vicente	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.