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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Hartberg

S S T S U

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 52%

36%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

45%

67%

Both score Ø 66%

73%

58%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	8	2	2	+13	26
2	SK Rapid	12	6	5	1	+4	23
3	Austria Vienna	12	6	3	3	+5	21
4	Salzburg	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	2	5	+5	17
6	Hartberg	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	A. Klagenfurt	11	4	3	4	-5	15
8	LASK	12	4	2	6	-1	14
9	BW Linz	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Tirol	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Altach	12	2	3	7	-5	9
12	Grazer AK	12	0	6	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Austria Vienna	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	SK Rapid	6	5	1	0	+6	16
4	Hartberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	BW Linz	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Wolfsberger AC	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	LASK	7	2	1	4	-1	7
10	Tirol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Altach	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Grazer AK	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	0	3	+3	9
3	Salzburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
4	LASK	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	SK Rapid	6	1	4	1	-2	7
6	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	1	2	-5	7
7	Tirol	6	2	0	4	-5	6
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-3	5
10	BW Linz	7	1	2	4	-7	5
11	Altach	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Grazer AK	7	0	3	4	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.