Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Taça de Portugal

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Tondela

U U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Santa Clara

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Tondela Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	FC Serpa	3	2	0	1	+8	6
5	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
11	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
20	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	Canelas 2010	3	2	0	1	+2	6
22	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
24	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
25	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
26	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
27	Penafiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	Oriental Lisboa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
32	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
33	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
34	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
35	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
42	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
52	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
66	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
67	Imortal Albufeira	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
69	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
129	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
130	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
131	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
132	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
133	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
134	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
135	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
136	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
137	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
138	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
139	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
140	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
141	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Canelas 2010	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
9	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
42	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
90	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.