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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Qarabag
T T S S S
5–1
Full-time
Shkendija
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Shkendija
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
100%
60%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
1,7
1,6
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -25 Shkendija – Qarabag 0–1

Match report

Qarabag Shkendija
10′
⚽ F. Tamba 0–1
B. Ibraimi
0–2 K. Cake ⚽
own goal
16′
1–2 Kady Borges ⚽
A. Zoubir
18′
2–2 N. Akhundzade ⚽
A. Zoubir
33′
35′
🟨 Kamer Qaka
3–2 M. Jankovic ⚽
35′
Half-time 3–2
46′
🔁 A. Alhassan
↦ L. Latifi
46′
🔁 E. Krasniqi
↦ K. Qaka
48′
🟨 Adamu Alhassan
4–2 Leandro Andrade ⚽
E. Cafarquliyev
59′
S. Mmaee 🔁
↦ B. Mustafazada
63′
Chriso 🔁
↦ Pedro Bicalho
63′
Dani Bolt 🔁
↦ Matheus Silva
63′
63′
🔁 F. Ademi
↦ B. Ibraimi
M. Qurbanly 🔁
↦ N. Akhundzade
70′
75′
🔁 F. Ramadani
↦ F. Tamba
H. Cabrayilzada 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
78′
84′
🔁 L. Kaba
↦ A. Zejnullai
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
15 Leandro Andrade M
20 Kady Borges M
10 A. Zoubir
90 N. Akhundzade F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
28 K. Qaka M
29 F. Tamba F
17 A. Zejnullai M
77 L. Latifi F
7 B. Ibraimi F
Bench (12)
25 A. Amzai
30 F. Ramani
6 A. Alhassan
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
10 E. Krasniqi
16 M. Murati
19 V. Krstevski
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
38 A. Nuhija

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.