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Serie B
Livorno
S U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livorno Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 4
22 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livorno 20. · Pisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Crotone 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 Benevento 9 5 3 1 +4 18
3 Empoli 9 4 4 1 +4 16
4 Ascoli 9 5 0 4 +6 15
5 Salernitana 9 4 3 2 +2 15
6 Perugia 9 4 3 2 +1 15
7 Chievo 9 3 5 1 +4 14
8 Pescara 9 4 1 4 +2 13
9 Cittadella 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Pordenone 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Venezia 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Virtus Entella 9 3 3 3 -2 12
13 Cremonese 8 3 2 3 -3 11
14 Pisa 8 2 4 2 +3 10
15 Spezia 9 3 1 5 -2 10
16 Frosinone 8 2 3 3 -4 9
17 Cosenza 9 1 5 3 -1 8
18 Juve Stabia 9 2 1 6 -9 7
19 Trapani 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Livorno 8 1 1 6 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
2,98
B
3,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.