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LaLiga2

Numancia

U S U T U

3–1

Full-time

Lugo

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Numancia 13. · Lugo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	13	10	1	2	+10	31
2	Albacete	13	7	1	5	-4	22
3	Almeria	12	5	5	2	+7	20
4	Fuenlabrada	12	6	2	4	+3	20
5	Zaragoza	12	5	4	3	+5	19
6	Vallecano	13	4	7	2	+4	19
7	Huesca	12	6	1	5	+3	19
8	Ponferradina	13	4	6	3	+4	18
9	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Alcorcon	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Elche	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Girona	12	5	1	6	-1	16
13	Numancia	12	3	6	3	+1	15
14	Mirandes	13	3	6	4	-6	15
15	Sp Gijon	12	3	5	4	-1	14
16	Tenerife	13	3	4	6	-2	13
17	Oviedo	12	3	4	5	-2	13
18	Extremadura UD	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Lugo	12	2	7	3	-4	13
20	Santander	13	1	8	4	-3	11
21	Malaga	12	2	5	5	-3	11
22	La Coruna	13	1	6	6	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Huesca	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Girona	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Ponferradina	7	3	3	1	+5	12
5	Vallecano	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Fuenlabrada	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Zaragoza	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Almeria	5	3	1	1	+5	10
9	Numancia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Mirandes	7	2	4	1	+1	10
12	Albacete	6	3	1	2	-2	10
13	Sp Gijon	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Lugo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Oviedo	6	1	4	1	+0	7
16	Santander	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	La Coruna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Elche	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Tenerife	6	1	2	3	-2	5
20	Extremadura UD	6	1	2	3	-3	5
21	Alcorcon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
22	Malaga	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	7	5	0	2	+2	15
2	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Albacete	7	4	0	3	-2	12
4	Almeria	7	2	4	1	+2	10
5	Elche	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Fuenlabrada	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Zaragoza	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Tenerife	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Extremadura UD	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Vallecano	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Ponferradina	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Oviedo	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Huesca	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Lugo	5	0	5	0	+0	5
17	Numancia	6	0	5	1	-1	5
18	Santander	6	0	5	1	-2	5
19	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Mirandes	6	1	2	3	-7	5
21	Girona	6	1	0	5	-5	3
22	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.