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Premier League

Referee: Mike Dean

Watford

U T T U U

0–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 61%

44%

78%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

5 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 20. · Bournemouth 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Man City	10	7	1	2	+23	22
3	Leicester	10	6	2	2	+17	20
4	Chelsea	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Arsenal	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Crystal Palace	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Burnley	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Sheffield United	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	West Ham	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Wolves	9	2	5	2	+0	11
13	Aston Villa	10	3	2	5	-1	11
14	Man United	9	2	4	3	+1	10
15	Everton	9	3	1	5	-5	10
16	Brighton	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Newcastle	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Southampton	10	2	2	6	-16	8
19	Norwich	9	2	1	6	-11	7
20	Watford	9	0	4	5	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Man City	5	3	1	1	+13	10
4	Tottenham	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Burnley	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Everton	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Aston Villa	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Crystal Palace	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Bournemouth	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Wolves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Sheffield United	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Norwich	4	2	0	2	-2	6
16	West Ham	4	2	0	2	-2	6
17	Brighton	4	1	2	1	+1	5
18	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Watford	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Southampton	5	0	1	4	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Man City	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Leicester	5	2	1	2	+8	7
5	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Sheffield United	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	West Ham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Bournemouth	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Wolves	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Arsenal	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Burnley	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Aston Villa	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Newcastle	5	1	0	4	-9	3
16	Man United	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Tottenham	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Watford	5	0	2	3	-11	2
19	Everton	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Norwich	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.