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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
West Brom
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Charlton
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
54%
46%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
77%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 1. · Charlton 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 13 7 5 1 +9 26
2 Leeds 14 7 4 3 +9 25
3 Sheffield Weds 14 7 3 4 +8 24
4 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 +3 23
5 QPR 13 7 2 4 +0 23
6 Preston 13 6 4 3 +10 22
7 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
8 Nott'm Forest 13 6 4 3 +5 22
9 Fulham 12 6 3 3 +9 21
10 Charlton 13 6 3 4 +5 21
11 Birmingham 13 6 1 6 -3 19
12 Derby 13 4 6 3 -2 18
13 Cardiff 12 4 5 3 +0 17
14 Hull 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Brentford 12 4 3 5 +1 15
16 Blackburn 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Millwall 13 3 6 4 -5 15
18 Luton 13 4 2 7 -3 14
19 Wigan 13 4 2 7 -7 14
20 Reading 13 3 3 7 -5 12
21 Middlesbrough 13 2 5 6 -6 11
22 Huddersfield 13 2 4 7 -6 10
23 Stoke 13 2 2 9 -10 8
24 Barnsley 13 1 5 7 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Charlton
Jake Livermore 🟨
2′
1–0 M. Phillips
Matheus Pereira
10′
41′
🟨 Tom Lockyer
Half-time 1–1
60′
M. Bonne 1–1
Nathan Ferguson 🟥
67′
H. Robson-Kanu 🔁
↦ C. Austin
71′
C. Townsend 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
71′
74′
🔁 C. Aneke
↦ E. Öztümer
76′
🟨 Conor Gallagher
2–1 H. Robson-Kanu
R. Sawyers
81′
Kyle Bartley 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 B. Kayal
↦ D. Pratley
C. Brunt 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
88′
88′
🔁 J. Davison
↦ J. Pearce
90′
🟨 Josh Cullen
94′
J. Cullen 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
29 G. Diangana M
36 N. Ferguson D
15 C. Austin F
12 Matheus Pereira M
Bench (7)
4 H. Robson-Kanu
14 C. Townsend
11 C. Brunt
7 F. Krovinović
21 K. Edwards
23 J. Bond
26 Ahmed Hegazi

Coach: S. Bilić

Charlton

3-5-1-1
1 D. Phillips G
6 J. Pearce D
20 C. Solly M
23 N. Sarr D
5 T. Lockyer D
3 B. Purrington M
15 D. Pratley M
29 E. Öztümer F
24 J. Cullen M
11 C. Gallagher M
17 M. Bonne F
Bench (7)
10 C. Aneke
21 B. Kayal
44 J. Davison
4 A. Oshilaja
30 A. Maynard-Brewer
45 A. Doughty
33 B. Dempsey

Coach: L. Bowyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,42
U ✓
4,69
B
7,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.