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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
St Pauli
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Sandhausen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Sandhausen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
86%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
22 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 11. · Sandhausen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Hamburg 8 6 0 2 +7 18
3 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +7 15
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Darmstadt 7 4 2 1 +5 14
6 Hannover 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Holstein Kiel 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Karlsruhe 8 3 2 3 +2 11
10 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 St Pauli 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Hansa Rostock 8 3 0 5 -6 9
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 -9 8
14 Sandhausen 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Bielefeld 8 1 2 5 -5 5
16 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 -10 5
17 Greuther Furth 7 0 4 3 -5 4
18 Magdeburg 7 1 1 5 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Sandhausen
13′
🟨 Matondo-Merveille Papela
1–0 J. Irvine
L. Paqarada
38′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Tom Trybull
61′
🔁 C. Soukou
↦ P. Ochs
61′
🔁 C. Kinsombi
↦ T. Trybull
62′
🔁 M. Pulkrab
↦ A. Esswein
D. Otto 🔁
↦ E. Amenyido
69′
I. Matanović 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
69′
71′
D. Kinsombi 1–1
C. Metcalfe 🔁
↦ E. Smith
79′
L. Zander 🔁
↦ M. Saliakas
86′
B. Fazliji 🔁
↦ D. Nemeth
86′
93′
🔁 I. Höhn
↦ D. Kinsombi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Pauli

4-3-1-2
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
23 L. Paqarada D
7 J. Irvine M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
13 L. Daschner M
14 E. Amenyido F
11 J. Eggestein F
Bench (9)
27 D. Otto
34 I. Matanović
24 C. Metcalfe
19 L. Zander
5 B. Fazliji
16 C. Boukhalfa
21 L. Ritzka
20 A. Aremu
30 S. Burchert

Coach: T. Schultz

Sandhausen

4-3-1-2
1 P. Drewes G
19 B. Ajdini D
3 D. Đumić D
2 A. Zhirov D
36 C. Okoroji D
24 M. Papela M
28 T. Trybull M
11 P. Ochs M
10 D. Kinsombi M
30 A. Esswein F
26 J. Bachmann F
Bench (9)
7 C. Soukou
8 C. Kinsombi
9 M. Pulkrab
15 I. Höhn
6 A. El-Zein
23 A. Kutucu
27 A. Sicker
33 N. Rehnen
22 M. Ritzmaier

Coach: A. Schwartz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,87
B
4,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.