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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Venezia
U T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Bari
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 13. · Bari 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 7 5 0 2 +11 15
2 Bari 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 Genoa 8 4 3 1 +4 15
4 Brescia 7 5 0 2 +0 15
5 Ternana 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Frosinone 7 4 0 3 +4 12
7 Parma 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Sudtirol 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Spal 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Ascoli 7 2 3 2 -1 9
13 Venezia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Benevento 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -4 8
16 Palermo 7 2 1 4 -3 7
17 Modena 7 2 0 5 -2 6
18 Pisa 7 1 2 4 -2 5
19 Perugia 7 1 1 5 -7 4
20 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Bari
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ M. Antenucci 0–1
W. Cheddira
49′
🟨 Mirco Antenucci
T. Tessmann 🔁
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
54′
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ A. Novakovich
55′
56′
🟨 Valerio Di Cesare
Ridgeciano Haps 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Raffaele Pucino
1–1 P. Ceccaroni ⚽
M. Cuisance
70′
71′
🔁 A. D'Errico
↦ N. Bellomo
71′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ M. Antenucci
L. Fiordilino 🔁
↦ G. Busio
74′
77′
🔁 L. Benedetti
↦ M. Maita
Jesse Joronen 🟨
81′
83′
⚽ W. Cheddira 1–2
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ F. Zampano
84′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. Cuisance
84′
89′
🔁 A. Mazzotta
↦ G. Ricci
90′
🔁 E. Terranova
↦ W. Cheddira
Marco Modolo 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
13 M. Modolo D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
7 F. Zampano M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
6 G. Busio M
10 M. Cuisance M
5 R. Haps M
11 A. Novakovich F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
8 T. Tessmann
21 D. Cheryshev
16 L. Fiordilino
25 N. Pierini
17 D. Johnsen
23 L. Ceppitelli
14 J. De Vries
12 Bruno
30 M. Svoboda
47 H. St Clair
27 A. Candela
36 F. Zabala

Coach: I. Javorčić

Bari

4-3-1-2
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
17 R. Maiello M
90 M. Folorunsho M
63 N. Bellomo M
11 W. Cheddira F
7 M. Antenucci F
Bench (12)
9 A. D'Errico
14 E. Salcedo
80 L. Benedetti
27 A. Mazzotta
20 E. Terranova
99 A. Mallamo
10 R. Botta
1 P. Frattali
30 D. Ceter
93 M. Dorval
26 A. Scheidler
21 Ž. Žužek

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,23
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.