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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Spal
S T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Venezia
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Spal 15. · Venezia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Brescia 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Benevento 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
15 Spal 4 1 2 1 -1 5
16 Venezia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Venezia
22′
🟨 Antonio Candela
1–0 A. La Mantia
G. Moncini
29′
40′
ℹ️ Joel Pohjanpalo
VAR: Goal cancelled
Biagio Meccariello 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Modolo
↦ A. Candela
46′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ D. Johnsen
58′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ A. Connolly
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
64′
N. Zanellato 🔁
↦ F. Proia
64′
74′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ M. Cuisance
79′
🟨 Luca Fiordilino
81′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ A. La Mantia
81′
R. Celia 🔁
↦ A. Tripaldelli
81′
87′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ D. Črnigoj
88′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
88′
🟥 Tanner Tessmann
2–0 M. Finotto
G. Moncini
93′
Mattia Finotto 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Spal

4-3-1-2
1 E. Alfonso G
24 L. Dickmann D
13 M. Varnier D
6 B. Meccariello D
3 A. Tripaldelli D
8 F. Proia M
5 S. Esposito M
16 L. Valzania M
37 F. Maistro M
19 A. La Mantia F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
99 S. Rabbi
10 N. Zanellato
11 M. Finotto
21 R. Celia
20 M. Prati
32 N. Rauti
27 P. Peda
4 C. Dalle Mura
22 D. Thiam
2 A. Fiordaliso
40 G. Tunjov
29 A. Almici

Coach: R. Venturato

Venezia

4-3-3
66 J. Joronen G
27 A. Candela D
2 P. Wiśniewski D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
31 M. Ullmann D
10 M. Cuisance M
16 L. Fiordilino M
33 D. Črnigoj M
17 D. Johnsen F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
9 A. Connolly F
Bench (12)
13 M. Modolo
8 T. Tessmann
11 A. Novakovich
21 D. Cheryshev
25 N. Pierini
36 F. Zabala
30 M. Svoboda
6 G. Busio
1 N. Mäenpää
14 J. De Vries
47 H. St Clair
38 M. Kofod Andersen

Coach: I. Javorčić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,18
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.