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Serie B
Referee: M Fabbri
Parma
U T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Reggina
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
38%
75%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
63%
13%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 7. · Reggina 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Bari 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Frosinone 9 6 0 3 +8 18
4 Ternana 8 5 1 2 +4 16
5 Brescia 8 5 1 2 +0 16
6 Genoa 8 4 3 1 +4 15
7 Parma 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Sudtirol 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Modena 8 3 0 5 -1 9
12 Benevento 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Ascoli 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Spal 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Cittadella 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -4 8
17 Palermo 8 2 1 5 -6 7
18 Pisa 8 1 3 4 -2 6
19 Como 8 1 3 4 -6 6
20 Perugia 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Reggina
Woyo Coulibaly 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–0
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
46′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ W. Coulibaly
46′
1–0 J. Oosterwolde
51′
C. Ansaldi 🔁
↦ A. Benedyczak
54′
V. Zagaritis 🔁
↦ A. Hainaut
55′
63′
🔁 F. Ricci
↦ L. Canotto
63′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ Hernani
G. Tutino 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
71′
73′
🟨 Žan Majer
2–0 L. Valenti
G. Tutino
74′
75′
🔁 E. Cicerelli
↦ R. Rivas
83′
🔁 F. Giraudo
↦ G. Di Chiara
84′
🔁 L. Crisetig
↦ Ž. Majer
S. Sohm 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Del Prato D
3 Y. Osorio D
30 L. Valenti D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
8 N. Estévez M
10 F. Vázquez M
20 A. Hainaut M
7 A. Benedyczak M
26 W. Coulibaly M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
13 A. Bonny
14 C. Ansaldi
47 V. Zagaritis
11 G. Tutino
19 S. Sohm
39 A. Circati
36 B. Maliszewski
84 D. Šits
44 F. Borriello
59 N. Buayi-Kiala
4 B. Balogh
9 G. Charpentier

Coach: F. Pecchia

Reggina

4-3-3
22 S. Colombi G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
14 G. Fabbian M
37 Ž. Majer M
20 Hernani M
31 L. Canotto F
7 J. Ménez F
99 R. Rivas F
Bench (12)
21 F. Ricci
9 G. Gori
11 E. Cicerelli
98 F. Giraudo
8 L. Crisetig
1 F. Ravaglia
6 G. Loiacono
10 J. Obi
13 D. Bouah
25 A. Lombardi
23 M. Camporese
94 D. Liotti

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,41
B
3,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.