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DFB-Pokal
Referee: Felix Bickel
Darmstadt
S S U U T
4–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 24. · Schalke 04 26.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kaiserslautern 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Magdeburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +5 4
10 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +4 4
11 Hertha 2 1 1 0 +3 4
12 Stuttgart 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 +8 3
15 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +4 3
17 Karlsruhe 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Cottbus 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
31 St Pauli 2 0 2 0 +0 2
32 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Illertissen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
64 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Schalke 04
1–0 H. Akiyama
23′
2–0 M. Maglica
S. Lopez
28′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 F. Hornby
L. Marseiler
48′
B. Bialek 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
59′
4–0 B. Bialek
K. Klefisch
60′
63′
🔁 P. Remmert
↦ M. Sylla
63′
🔁 F. Sanchez
↦ N. Katic
63′
🔁 A. Younes
↦ K. Karaman
71′
🔁 A. Donkor
↦ A. Gantenbein
71′
🔁 M. Gruger
↦ R. Schallenberg
A. Vukotic 🔁
↦ P. Pfeiffer
76′
M. Papela 🔁
↦ K. Klefisch
76′
M. Bader 🔁
↦ S. Lopez
76′
77′
🟨 Felipe Sánchez
P. Will 🔁
↦ L. Marseiler
80′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schuhen G
6 P. Pfeiffer D
5 M. Maglica D
32 F. Holland D
2 S. Lopez M
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
8 L. Marseiler M
34 K. Corredor F
9 F. Hornby F
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
24 B. Borner
3 L. Klassen
10 J. Boetius
20 A. Vukotic
21 M. Papela
23 M. Richter
26 M. Bader
27 B. Bialek
28 P. Will

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
43 M. Ayhan D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
17 A. Gantenbein M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
6 R. Schallenberg M
27 F. Porath M
14 J. Bachmann F
19 K. Karaman F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
28 J. Heekeren
30 A. Donkor
37 M. Gruger
41 H. Matriciani
39 P. Remmert
2 F. Sanchez
35 M. Wallentowitz
8 A. Younes
16 M. Zalazar

Coach: Miron Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.