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Copa del Rey

UD Ourense

1–1

Full-time

Pontevedra

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
43	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
55	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
56	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
57	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
78	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
86	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
19	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
20	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
28	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

UD Ourense Pontevedra

9′

🟨 N. Conesa

1–0 J. Labrada ⚽

Migui

10′

R. Sanchez 🟨

17′

Half-time 1–0

50′

🟨 Juanra

M. Nunez 🟨

56′

P. Parrilla 🔁

↦ V. Neives

61′

J. Barbosa 🔁

↦ O. Vazquez

61′

🔁 Y. Pino

↦ A. Ribeiro

61′

🔁 T. Rodriguez

↦ N. Conesa

71′

🔁 L. Macias

↦ J. Resende

71′

🔁 A. Vidorreta

↦ M. Denia

71′

🔁 B. Abelenda

↦ Juanra

L. Puime 🔁

↦ R. Sanchez

72′

S. Pardo 🔁

↦ S. Prado

72′

S. Pardo 🟨

73′

J. Barbosa 🟨

76′

V. Gamarra 🔁

↦ Migui

83′

90′

⚽ A. Comparada Gonzalez 1–1

Varo 🔁

↦ S. de Prado

91′

95′

🟨 L. Macias

Varo 🟨

101′

106′

🔁 D. Selma

↦ A. Comparada Gonzalez

118′

🟨 B. Abelenda

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

UD Ourense

1 M. Vizoso

22 S. de Prado

4 J. Labrada

3 P. Bueso

23 S. Prado

10 O. Vazquez

20 V. Neives

8 M. Nunez

21 V. Jaichenco

9 R. Sanchez

7 Migui

Bench (11)

2 Varo

5 L. Puime

15 N. Gonzalez

19 S. Pardo

16 Y. Crespo

27 R. Curras

14 R. Martinez

6 P. Parrilla

11 J. Barbosa

17 V. Gamarra

25 D. Dominguez

Pontevedra

1 E. Sousa

2 V. Eimil

4 M. Bosch

15 Juanra

3 A. Exposito

7 A. Gonzalez

5 N. Conesa

A. Ribeiro

14 J. Resende

22 A. Comparada Gonzalez

20 M. Denia

Bench (11)

13 R. Marqueta

19 B. Garay

23 A. Montoro

11 M. Cuesta

17 L. Macias

10 Y. Pino

24 T. Rodriguez

16 A. Vidorreta

8 B. Abelenda

30 R. Gil

9 D. Selma

Coach: Ruben Dominguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

UD Ourense

Pontevedra

Odds comparison

Recent matches