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Copa del Rey

Mutilvera

1–3

Full-time

Zaragoza

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
28	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
35	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
38	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
48	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
55	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Los Garres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
20	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mutilvera Zaragoza

14′

⚽ A. Roncal 1–0

own goal

25′

⚽ J. Sebastian 1–1

S. Bazdar

E. Goni 🟨

28′

Half-time 1–1

A. Roncal 🟨

46′

🟨 F. Moyano

46′

🔁 H. Barrachina

↦ J. Sebastian

46′

🔁 S. Bakis

↦ S. Bazdar

46′

🔁 M. Aguirregabiria

↦ C. Pomares

47′

🟨 S. Bazdar

55′

🔁 P. Sans

↦ H. Pinilla

60′

🟨 H. Barrachina

X. Goni 🔁

↦ S. Banzo

70′

A. Arocena 🔁

↦ D. Bujanda

70′

71′

🔁 P. Insua

↦ S. Kosa

78′

⚽ K. Kodro 1–2

M. Aguirregabiria

T. Galhardo 🔁

↦ E. Goni

79′

I. Martinez 🔁

↦ I. Telletxea

79′

B. Biesa 🟨

86′

X. Goikoetxea 🔁

↦ H. Teres

87′

2–2 X. Goni ⚽

88′

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mutilvera

1 M. Ojer

24 J. Murillo

14 B. Biesa

5 I. Morte

3 E. Goni

11 A. Roncal

7 S. Banzo

18 A. Aranguren

6 H. Teres

10 D. Bujanda

8 I. Telletxea

Bench (11)

13 A. Fraga

2 I. Gonzalez

4 P. Grande

9 X. Goikoetxea

12 T. Galhardo

15 V. Ciaurriz

16 U. Ardanaz

17 I. Martinez

20 X. Roldan

21 X. Goni

23 A. Arocena

Zaragoza

1 E. Andrada

J. Sebastian

A. Gomes

22 S. Kosa

15 C. Pomares

31 H. Pinilla

Francho

8 T. Moya

17 F. Moyano

S. Bazdar

K. Kodro

Bench (10)

13 A. Rodriguez

32 H. Barrachina

4 P. Insua

7 M. Soberon

9 D. Gomez

10 R. Guti

12 S. Bakis

20 M. Aguirregabiria

23 M. A. Cuenca

29 P. Sans

Coach: David Navarro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Mutilvera

Zaragoza

Odds comparison

Recent matches