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Puchar Polski
Referee: L Kuzma
Rakow
S S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Cracovia
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Lechia Gdansk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
15 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
16 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Legnica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Gryf Słupsk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
31 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
35 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Cracovia
1–0 J. Brunes
P. Makuch
13′
K. Struski 🟨
30′
2–0 J. Brunes
M. Bulat
40′
42′
🟨 M. Rakoczy
Half-time 2–0
A. Konstantopoulos 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
46′
P. Barath 🔁
↦ K. Struski
46′
63′
🔁 M. Klich
↦ D. Pila
63′
🔁 A. Hasic
↦ M. Rakoczy
63′
🔁 M. Aleksic
↦ B. Traore
63′
🔁 K. Zahiroleslam
↦ F. Stojilkovic
T. Pienko 🔁
↦ J. C. Silva
68′
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
68′
I. Rondic 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
78′
80′
🔁 K. Knap
↦ M. Praszelik
3–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga
81′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rakow

48 O. Zych
7 F. Tudor
25 B. Racovitan
4 S. Svarnas
19 M. Ameyaw
23 K. Struski
6 O. Repka
20 J. C. Silva
9 P. Makuch
5 M. Bulat
18 J. Brunes
Bench (9)
1 K. Trelowski
39 J. Madrzyk
8 T. Pienko
44 B. Mircetic
66 A. Konstantopoulos
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga
88 P. Barath
97 I. Seck
99 I. Rondic

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

Cracovia

27 H. Ravas
25 O. Kakabadze
21 B. Sutalo
66 O. Wojcik
79 D. Pila
61 B. Traore
6 A. Al Ammari
19 D. Olafsson
10 M. Rakoczy
7 M. Praszelik
9 F. Stojilkovic
Bench (9)
13 S. Madejski
24 J. Jugas
39 M. Perkovic
20 K. Knap
43 M. Klich
14 A. Hasic
8 M. Aleksic
18 K. Zahiroleslam
17 M. Minchev

Coach: Luka Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuzma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.