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Copa del Rey
0–1
Full-time
Cartagena
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
43 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
45 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
46 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
53 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
54 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
55 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
56 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
57 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
78 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
86 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puente Genil Cartagena
Half-time 0–0
C. Guzman 🔁
↦ A. M. Ruiz
46′
57′
K. Sanchez 0–1
C. Calderon
Carlos Ramirez 🔁
↦ S. Vegas
58′
Isma 🔁
↦ T. Montenegro
58′
67′
🔁 L. Redondo
↦ C. Calderon
67′
🔁 A. Martin
↦ K. Sanchez
Isma 🟨
69′
L. Hernandez 🔁
↦ A. Ruiz
69′
72′
🟨 F. Velez
73′
🔁 A. Fidalgo
↦ E. Alcaniz
73′
🔁 Chiki
↦ A. Ortuno
Capilla 🔁
↦ J. Armengol
77′
84′
🔁 P. Larrea
↦ Chuca
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Puente Genil

13 B. Del Valle
16 R. Alvarez
15 J. Pozo
17 M. Perez
3 Juanjo
10 S. Vegas
6 J. Armengol
14 A. Ruiz
21 A. M. Ruiz
9 T. Montenegro
11 A. Araiza
Bench (11)
1 J. Estepa
4 I. Vela Resina
5 E. Chia Merino
8 Carlos Ramirez
12 Capilla
18 Bugui
19 P. Gonzalez
20 L. Hernandez
22 Isma
23 D. Merino
24 C. Guzman

Cartagena

13 L. Garcia
18 D. Perejon
15 F. Velez
5 I. Baz
3 N. Jimenez
17 K. Sanchez
14 E. Alcaniz
23 Nacho
7 C. Calderon
21 Chuca
9 A. Ortuno
Bench (11)
1 I. Martinez
30 J. Reyes
2 M. Jurado
6 A. Fidalgo
10 P. Larrea
11 L. Redondo
16 A. Martin
19 Chiki
20 D. Gomez
22 N. Martinez
29 Checo

Coach: Inigo Velez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.