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Puchar Polski
Referee: J Przybyl
Widzew Lodz
U T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Zaglebie
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Widzew Lodz 31. · Zaglebie 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
13 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Legnica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Gryf Słupsk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
28 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
30 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
35 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Zaglebie
13′
ℹ️ K. Szmyt
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
23′
🟨 J. Kolan
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Kocaba
↦ J. Kolan
S. Andreou 🟨
50′
J. Shehu 🟨
52′
M. Fornalczyk 🟨
57′
63′
🟨 J. Corluka
66′
🟨 J. Sypek
A. Baena Perez 🔁
↦ S. Akere
67′
S. Bergier 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
67′
67′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ J. Sypek
R. Visus 🔁
↦ M. Krajewski
75′
75′
🔁 T. Makowski
↦ K. Szmyt
75′
🔁 L. Rocha
↦ M. Kosidis
S. Czyz 🔁
↦ F. Alvarez
79′
90′
🔁 M. Nalepa
↦ L. Lucic
B. Pawlowski 🔁
↦ L. Selahi
91′
95′
🟨 R. Yakuba
1–0 B. Pawlowski
112′
V. Ilic 🟨
117′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

30 V. Ilic
91 M. Krajewski
5 S. Andreou
4 M. Zyro
13 D. Gallapeni
18 L. Selahi
57 S. Akere
10 F. Alvarez
6 J. Shehu
7 M. Fornalczyk
9 A. Zeqiri
Bench (9)
98 M. Kikolski
8 T. Teklic
14 R. Visus
16 P. Therkildsen
19 B. Pawlowski
25 M. Hanousek
55 S. Czyz
77 A. Baena Perez
99 S. Bergier

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Zaglebie

12 R. Gikiewicz
3 R. Yakuba
5 A. Lawniczak
4 D. Michalski
16 J. Corluka
18 A. Radwanski
26 J. Kolan
35 L. Lucic
77 K. Szmyt
9 M. Kosidis
19 J. Sypek
Bench (9)
1 J. Buric
6 T. Makowski
11 A. Wozniak
17 M. Wdowiak
20 M. Dziewiatowski
25 M. Nalepa
39 F. Kocaba
55 L. Rocha
71 K. Nowogonski

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybyl · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.