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KNVB Beker
Referee: R Martens
Waalwijk
T T S T S
3–2
Full-time
Cambuur
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Roda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 FC OSS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
44 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
45 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Katwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
53 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
54 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
83 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Cambuur
1–0 T. van der Leij ⚽
R. Kuijpers
39′
Half-time 1–0
O. Panneflek 🔁
↦ M. Schaapman
46′
46′
🔁 I. Ferrah
↦ N. Binder
2–0 J. Familia-Castillo ⚽
J. Altena
50′
52′
⚽ T. Rolke 2–1
Y. van der Veen
56′
⚽ M. Diemers 2–2
59′
🔁 J. Berkhout
↦ I. Baouf
59′
🔁 O. Sjostrand
↦ Y. van der Veen
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ R. Kuijpers
61′
N. Held 🔁
↦ J. Familia-Castillo
61′
66′
🔁 N. Souren
↦ M. Diemers
3–2 N. Held ⚽
J. Altena
74′
78′
🟨 R. Balk
R. van Eijma 🔁
↦ M. Witteveen
81′
81′
🔁 J. van der Sande
↦ J. Amofa
B. Zorgdrager 🔁
↦ H. Kuster
87′
91′
🟨 T. Rolke
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

16 M. Spenkelink
27 J. Altena D
35 L. Postma D
15 L. Wouters D
5 J. Familia-Castillo D
25 M. Witteveen M
20 H. Kuster M
21 M. Schaapman
17 R. Kuijpers M
11 T. van der Leij F
8 D. van Kaam F
Bench (9)
2 B. Zorgdrager
3 R. van Eijma
7 D. Cleonise
9 J. Uneken
13 X. Mulder
24 O. Panneflek
29 M. Kramer
31 L. Vogels
55 N. Held

Coach: Sander Duits

Cambuur

21 J. Meijster G
27 W. Kooistra D
4 I. Baouf D
6 J. Amofa D
22 T. Galvez D
46 J. Nap
18 T. Rolke M
10 M. Diemers M
7 R. Balk F
13 N. Binder F
30 Y. van der Veen F
Bench (11)
3 J. Berkhout
8 N. Souren
9 K. Visser
11 O. Sjostrand
14 J. van der Sande
19 I. Henstra
24 T. Jonker
25 B. Marsman
26 I. Ferrah
31 M. Kalisvaart
43 A. Bakkati

Coach: Henk de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.