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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Vos
1–0
Full-time
Excelsior
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
19 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hsc 21 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Hoogeveen 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Hoek 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 SC Genemuiden 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 3 2 0 1 +2 6
11 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 FC Lisse 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Roda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 FC OSS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
48 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Katwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
56 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
57 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 FC Eindhoven 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
89 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior
C. Tureaij 🟨
14′
Y. Hamd 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Yegoian
↦ A. Carlen
62′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ N. Martens
62′
🔁 D. Sanches Fernandes
↦ S. Middendorp
T. Van der Kleij 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 J. Bergraaf
↦ D. Yoon
D. Heuvelman 🔁
↦ G. Overman
75′
D. Slagveer 🔁
↦ J. Verbont
86′
90′
🔁 G. de Regt
↦ S. Mitrovic
B. Wennekers 🟨
93′
D. Lopes Varela 🔁
↦ D. Plank
95′
N. Nagtegaal 🔁
↦ J. van Eerden
95′
S. Bronder 🔁
↦ Y. Hamd
95′
M. Houwaart 🔁
↦ B. Wennekers
106′
106′
🔁 L. Schouten
↦ C. Widell
107′
🟨 C. Raatsie
1–0 N. Nagtegaal
120′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Excelsior Maassluis

1 T. Van der Kleij G
2 C. Tureaij
3 K. Ringeling
8 J. Udenhout
5 G. Overman D
30 Y. Hamd
6 J. van Eerden
27 D. Plank
14 J. Verbont
9 B. Wennekers F
11 Q. Tavares
Bench (12)
4 D. Heuvelman
10 M. Bakour
16 K. El Fakiri
17 D. Slagveer
20 M. Houwaart
21 N. Nagtegaal
23 S. Pina
24 D. Lopes Varela
26 S. Bronder
28 D. Smit
33 V. Nikolic
38 R. de Bruijn

Coach: Geert-Arend Roorda

Excelsior

16 C. Raatsie G
17 N. Martens D
4 C. Widell D
5 S. Henderikx D
12 A. Zagre D
8 M. Tielemans M
25 S. Middendorp M
6 A. Carlen M
7 D. Yoon F
29 M. van Duinen F
22 S. Mitrovic F
Bench (10)
1 S. van Gassel
2 I. Bronkhorst
9 S. Wlodarczyk
11 G. de Regt
14 L. Schouten
23 I. Yegoian
24 G. Cairo
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
33 J. Bergraaf
34 N. El Hamdaoui

Coach: Ruben den Uil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Vos · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.