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Copa del Rey

Caudal

0–1

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
32	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
34	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
35	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
41	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
44	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
56	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
63	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
21	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caudal Sp Gijon

Half-time 0–0

M. Oladipupo 🔁

↦ D. Montequin Dihigo

63′

C. Medina 🔁

↦ J. Carcaba

63′

I. Elena 🟨

68′

71′

🔁 P. Garcia

↦ C. Hernandez

71′

🔁 Nacho Martin

↦ O. Cortes

71′

🔁 A. Coundoul

↦ J. Caicedo

J. Delgado 🔁

↦ K. Fanjul

75′

J. I. Velardi 🔁

↦ I. Elena

86′

90′

⚽ J. Dubasin 0–1

A. Coundoul

S. M. Ordonez 🟨

91′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caudal

13 J. Moral

21 S. M. Ordonez

4 R. Albuquerque

20 A. Porto

19 B. Rodriguez

7 D. Boza

8 K. Fanjul

6 V. Antuna

11 D. Montequin Dihigo

14 J. Carcaba

22 I. Elena

Bench (11)

1 Roberto Jara

17 S. Cabrera

5 M. Sanchez Alonso

27 I. Martin

24 M. Oladipupo

10 J. I. Velardi

26 J. del Rio

18 J. Delgado

2 M. Trabanco

9 C. Medina

28 E. Vazquez

Sp Gijon

30 I. Venteo

20 K. Vazquez

22 Y. Kembo

23 E. Curbelo

33 C. Hernandez

M. Rodriguez

38 N. Riestra

J. Dubasin

16 O. Cortes

11 D. Queipo

9 J. Caicedo

Bench (9)

39 M. Ordonez

34 A. D. Garcia

3 P. Garcia

26 I. Martinez

28 P. Mbemba

37 C. Ferreres

6 Nacho Martin

18 A. Coundoul

31 M. Fernandez

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Caudal

Sp Gijon

Odds comparison

Recent matches