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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Hoffenheim
T T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Bochum
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 15. · Bochum 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Bochum
10′
⚽ S. Zoller 0–1
P. Hofmann
13′
⚽ S. Zoller 0–2
K. Stöger
1–2 C. Baumgartner ⚽
14′
2–2 O. Kabak ⚽
D. Geiger
23′
Half-time 2–2
K. Akpoguma 🔁
↦ S. Nsoki
46′
P. Kadeřábek 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
51′
58′
🟨 Anthony Losilla
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
62′
S. Rudy 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
62′
Kevin Akpoguma 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 V. Lampropoulos
↦ D. Heintz
M. Dabbur 🔁
↦ C. Baumgartner
75′
76′
🔁 E. Mašović
↦ J. Osei-Tutu
76′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ T. Asano
3–2 M. Dabbur ⚽
S. Rudy
88′
89′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ C. Gamboa
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
34 S. Nsoki D
29 R. Skov M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
11 Angeliño M
7 J. Bruun Larsen F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (9)
25 K. Akpoguma
3 P. Kadeřábek
33 G. Rutter
16 S. Rudy
10 M. Dabbur
35 M. Damar
37 L. Philipp
18 D. Samassékou
39 T. Bischof

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Bochum

3-4-1-2
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
20 I. Ordets D
30 D. Heintz D
18 J. Osei-Tutu M
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
23 S. Janko M
11 T. Asano F
33 P. Hofmann F
9 S. Zoller F
Bench (7)
24 V. Lampropoulos
4 E. Mašović
10 P. Förster
35 S. Ganvoula
14 T. Oermann
21 M. Esser
25 M. Tolba

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,47
B
5,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.