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Allsvenskan
Referee: Glenn Nyberg
Hacken
T T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Sirius
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hacken Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
5,0
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
54%
69%
Both score Ø 64%
50%
77%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,46 xG 1,48
60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hacken 9. · Sirius 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 26 19 6 1 +30 +5.1 63
2 Hammarby 26 16 4 6 +25 +18.3 52
3 Malmo FF 27 12 9 6 +14 +14.5 45
4 GAIS 26 12 9 5 +13 +14.0 45
5 AIK 26 12 8 6 +7 +7.2 44
6 Goteborg 26 14 2 10 +5 +2.4 44
7 Djurgarden 26 11 9 6 +15 +5.9 42
8 Elfsborg 26 11 4 11 +0 -1.9 37
9 Hacken 26 9 5 12 -7 +3.5 32
10 Brommapojkarna 26 9 2 15 -3 -3.2 29
11 Sirius 26 8 5 13 -5 -1.0 29
12 Norrkoping 27 8 5 14 -13 -12.0 29
13 Halmstad 26 8 4 14 -26 -12.8 28
14 Oster 26 6 7 13 -12 -14.7 25
15 Degerfors 26 6 5 15 -21 -6.6 23
16 Varnamo 26 3 6 17 -22 -18.8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hacken Sirius
1–0 M. Rygaard
16′
Simon Gustafson 🟨
21′
45′
I. Bjerkebo 1–1
O. Krusnell
Half-time 1–1
Marius Lode 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 N. Milleskog
↦ J. Persson
B. Wembangomo 🔁
↦ D. Al Saed
66′
J. Dembe 🔁
↦ I. Brusberg
75′
S. Leach 🔁
↦ S. Andersen
81′
S. Nioule 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
82′
88′
🔁 V. Svensson
↦ I. Bjerkebo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hacken

4-4-2
1 A. Linde G
11 J. Lindberg D
4 M. Lode D
22 F. Helander D
21 A. Lundkvist D
20 A. Svanback M
8 S. Andersen M
14 S. Gustafson M
18 D. Al Saed M
10 M. Rygaard F
39 I. Brusberg F
Bench (9)
32 O. Jansson
5 B. Wembangomo
7 S. Ngabo
15 S. Leach
16 P. Dahbo
19 J. Dembe
23 O. Samuelsson
29 S. Nioule
44 H. Hilvenius

Coach: Jens Otto Andreas Gustafsson

Sirius

4-2-3-1
34 D. Celic G
2 H. Castegren D
15 S. Sandberg D
4 T. Anker D
22 O. Krusnell D
10 M. Heier M
17 M. Lindberg M
7 J. Persson M
14 L. Walta M
29 I. Bjerkebo M
9 R. Ure F
Bench (9)
1 I. Diawara
3 B. Milovanov
5 T. Carlsson
8 M. Nartey
13 J. Voelkerling
18 A. Vikman
19 N. Milleskog
21 D. Widgren
24 V. Svensson

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Glenn Nyberg · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.