Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Start
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | +57 | 68 |
| 2 |
Start
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 44 |
| 3 |
Lyn
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 4 |
Aalesund
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 41 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +12 | 41 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 |
Raufoss
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 |
Moss
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -19 | 26 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -27 | 18 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. A. Granheim
J. Flaten
Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta
J. Larsen
S. Hansen
S. Griesbeck
J. Norheim
S. Sjokvist
S. Mvoue
M. Soomets
M. Ugland
A. Ujkani
E. Schulze
H. Lorentzen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aalesund
Sogndal
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
Lyn
Sogndal
Sogndal
Lillestrom
Asane
Sogndal
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.