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Taça de Portugal
Espinho
S S
0–0
Full-time
Santa Clara
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espinho Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 CD Olivais e Moscavide 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Caldas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vila Meã 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Espinho 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Comércio Indústria 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Vila Real 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Amarante 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 1º Dezembro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Vila Caíz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Celoricense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
16 Marinhense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
17 Moncarapachense 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Gouveia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Anadia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Mortágua 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Os Marialvas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Peniche 2 1 0 1 +7 3
23 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +6 3
24 Alpendorada 1 1 0 0 +6 3
25 Sacavenense 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Atlético Malveira 2 1 0 1 +5 3
27 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +5 3
28 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
29 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 São João Ver 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +4 3
32 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
33 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 FC Serpa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 AD Fornos Algodres 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Naval 1893 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Torreense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Ançã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Farense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Silves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Rebordosa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Mirandela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 União Lamas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Atlético CP 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Uniao Nogueirense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Correlhã 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Chaves 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Nazarenos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Monção 2 1 0 1 -1 3
62 Machico 2 1 0 1 -1 3
63 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2 1 0 1 -3 3
64 Brito 2 1 0 1 -4 3
65 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
66 Rebordelo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Portimonense B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Charneca Caparica 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Oliveira Hospital 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Eléctrico 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Mafra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 União Santarém 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Almodôvar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Os Limianos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 Operário 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
125 Estrela Calheta 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
127 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
128 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
129 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
130 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
131 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espinho Santa Clara
23′
🟨 Serginho
W. Rodrigues 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
R. Rodrigues 🟨
47′
🟨
61′
W. Rodrigues 🟨
61′
W. Rodrigues 🟥
61′
63′
🔁 P. Ferreira
↦ Serginho
🟨
65′
🟨
72′
R. V. Figueiredo Santos 🔁
↦ R. Silvestre
72′
Calo 🔁
↦ Couto
72′
76′
🔁 A. Carter
↦ J. Tavares
76′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ Brenner
78′
🟨
79′
🔁 Elias Manoel
↦ Vinicius Lopes
D. Guerra 🔁
↦ R. Rodrigues
80′
V. Vieira 🔁
↦ J. F. da Silva Santos
90′
91′
🔁 S. Lima
↦ T. Duarte
92′
🟨
98′
🟥
98′
🔁 J. Costa
↦ F. Venancio
🟨
101′
L. Rebelo 🔁
↦ Odailson
106′
🟨
111′
A. Kalama 🔁
↦
111′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Espinho

12 A. Fonseca
19 R. Silvestre
32 P. Santos
15 Leo Araujo
70 H. Almeida
8 J. F. da Silva Santos
7 Couto
14 Odailson
4 G. Dias
93 W. Rodrigues
10 R. Rodrigues
Bench (9)
29 Leonardo
2 R. V. Figueiredo Santos
5 B. Neto
6 V. Vieira
9 D. Guerra
11 Calo
28 L. Rebelo
79 Manu Alves
A. Kalama

Santa Clara

12 Neneca
80 T. Duarte
13 L. Rocha
21 F. Venancio
64 Paulo Victor
6 Adriano Firmino
35 Serginho
65 J. Tavares
70 Vinicius Lopes
11 Brenner
29 Wendel Silva
Bench (9)
1 Gabriel Batista
7 Elias Manoel
8 P. Ferreira
9 A. Carter
17 J. Costa
20 Adriel
23 S. Lima
28 Luquinhas
94 H. Silva

Coach: Vasco Matos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.