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Championship
Referee: Robert Madley
1–0
Full-time
Watford
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
22%
67%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,11 xG 1,09
40% Possession 60%
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 24. · Watford 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 +7 +2.3 20
2 Coventry 9 5 4 0 +20 +15.0 19
3 Millwall 10 5 2 3 -2 -0.4 17
4 Leicester 9 4 4 1 +5 -2.2 16
5 Preston 9 4 4 1 +4 -0.9 16
6 Stoke 9 4 3 2 +5 +0.2 15
7 QPR 10 4 3 3 -2 -1.2 15
8 West Brom 9 4 2 3 -1 +0.7 14
9 Ipswich 9 3 4 2 +6 +7.0 13
10 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 +5 +2.6 13
11 Swansea 10 3 4 3 +0 -2.4 13
12 Watford 9 3 3 3 +0 +2.9 12
13 Charlton 9 3 3 3 +0 -0.5 12
14 Portsmouth 9 3 3 3 -1 -0.9 12
15 Hull 9 3 3 3 -2 -5.5 12
16 Birmingham 9 3 3 3 -3 +2.6 12
17 Southampton 9 2 5 2 -1 +6.6 11
18 Wrexham 9 2 4 3 -1 -5.2 10
19 Oxford 10 2 3 5 -2 -0.0 9
20 Norwich 9 2 2 5 -3 -4.7 8
21 Derby 10 1 5 4 -5 -6.3 8
22 Blackburn 8 2 1 5 -4 +1.3 7
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 -12 -8.8 6
24 Sheffield United 9 1 0 8 -13 -2.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Watford
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Kévin Keben Biakolo
A. Brooks 🔁
↦ L. Barry
56′
1–0 C. O'Hare
A. Brooks
59′
60′
🔁 M. Bola
↦ C. Wiley
60′
🔁 T. Ince
↦ E. Kayembe
60′
🔁 K. Baah
↦ N. Irankunda
J. Riedewald 🔁
↦ D. Soumare
67′
H. Burrows 🔁
↦ S. McCallum
68′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
68′
73′
🔁 R. Vata
↦ M. Sissoko
81′
🔁 M. Doumbia
↦ H. Kyprianou
J. Shackleton 🔁
↦ C. Ogbene
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Cooper G
2 J. Tanganga D
25 M. McGuinness D
15 B. Mee D
19 C. Ogbene M
42 S. Peck M
18 D. Soumare M
3 S. McCallum M
10 C. O'Hare F
27 L. Barry F
23 T. Campbell F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
6 T. Bindon
14 H. Burrows
16 J. Shackleton
11 A. Brooks
28 A. Matos
44 J. Riedewald
7 T. Cannon
9 D. Ings

Coach: Christopher John Wilder

Watford

4-2-2-2
1 E. Selvik G
2 J. Ngakia D
4 K. Keben D
6 M. Pollock D
26 C. Wiley D
5 H. Kyprianou M
10 I. Louza M
17 M. Sissoko M
66 N. Irankunda M
39 E. Kayembe F
9 L. Kjerrumgaard F
Bench (9)
12 N. Baxter
16 M. Bola
3 M. Alleyne
27 F. Mendy
7 T. Ince
23 N. Mendy
20 M. Doumbia
34 K. Baah
11 R. Vata

Coach: Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,36
B
3,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.