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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Hibernian
U U U U T
4–0
Full-time
Livingston
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
57%
75%
Both score Ø 73%
71%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
23 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 10
2 Offside 0
23 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Livingston 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 7 6 1 0 +10 +0.8 19
2 Celtic 7 5 2 0 +8 +2.5 17
3 Kilmarnock 7 2 4 1 +3 -0.1 10
4 Dundee United 7 2 3 2 +1 -1.0 9
5 St Mirren 7 2 3 2 -1 -1.5 9
6 Motherwell 7 1 5 1 +1 +1.8 8
7 Hibernian 7 1 5 1 +0 +1.1 8
8 Rangers 7 1 5 1 -1 -0.9 8
9 Livingston 8 1 3 4 -4 +0.6 6
10 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 -5 -0.7 6
11 Dundee 8 1 3 4 -7 -2.0 6
12 Aberdeen 7 1 1 5 -5 -0.6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
1–0 T. Klidje
D. Barlaser
9′
23′
🔁 A. Winter
↦ S. Blaney
45′
🟨 Mohammad Sylla
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Muirhead
↦ C. McLennan
46′
🔁 M. Tait
↦ S. Pittman
46′
🔁 C. Montano
↦ D. Wilson
50′
🟨 Cristian Montano
2–0 J. McGrath
52′
66′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ J. Bokila
66′
🔁 S. Lawal
↦ A. Montgomery
M. Boyle 🔁
↦ K. Bowie
71′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ T. Klidje
71′
M. Chaiwa 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
76′
3–0 J. Hoilett
C. Cadden
79′
Jack Iredale 🟨
80′
D. Levitt 🔁
↦ D. Barlaser
82′
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. Mulligan
82′
4–0 J. Hoilett
C. Cadden
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
5 W. O'Hora D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
20 J. Mulligan M
22 D. Barlaser M
19 N. Cadden M
17 J. McGrath F
18 T. Klidje F
9 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
6 D. Levitt
7 T. Youan
10 M. Boyle
14 M. Chaiwa
21 J. Obita
23 J. Hoilett
32 J. Campbell
33 R. Bushiri

Coach: David Peter Gray

Livingston

4-3-3
28 J. Prior G
19 D. Finlayson D
27 D. Wilson D
4 S. Blaney D
3 A. Montgomery D
8 S. Pittman M
7 M. Susoho M
24 M. Sylla M
17 S. May F
18 J. Bokila F
11 C. McLennan F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
9 R. Muirhead
10 G. Carey
16 A. Winter
22 A. Shinnie
25 M. Tait
39 T. Yengi
26 C. Montano
40 S. Lawal

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,24
B
5,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.