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Taça de Portugal
Oliveira Hospital
1–0
Full-time
Lusitânia Lourosa

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Pêro Pinheiro 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 São João Ver 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Beira-Mar 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Montalegre 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 UD da Serra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Merelinense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Olhanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Dumiense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Os Marialvas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Lagos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Canelas 2010 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Arronches e Benfica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ferreiras 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Praiense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Joane 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Lajense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Oriental Dragon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Varzim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Gondomar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Camacha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Tirsense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Paredes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Pombal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
77 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
78 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
79 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
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U1,5 ✓
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
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BLS nei ✓
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.