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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Aalesund

T T T U S

1–3

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,7

This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

29%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 11. · Sarpsborg 08 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	21	16	3	2	+28	51
2	Lillestrom	22	13	5	4	+18	44
3	Bodo/Glimt	21	12	5	4	+27	41
4	Rosenborg	21	11	7	3	+17	40
5	Valerenga	21	11	3	7	+7	36
6	Odd	22	9	3	10	-10	30
7	Viking	21	8	5	8	+2	29
8	Stromsgodset	22	8	5	9	+1	29
9	Tromso	21	6	9	6	-6	27
10	Haugesund	21	7	4	10	-2	25
11	Aalesund	21	6	7	8	-8	25
12	Ham-Kam	21	4	11	6	-1	23
13	Sarpsborg 08	21	7	1	13	-6	22
14	Sandefjord	22	6	4	12	-15	22
15	Jerv	21	4	2	15	-33	14
16	Kristiansund	21	3	4	14	-19	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Lillestrom	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Molde	11	8	1	2	+16	25
4	Valerenga	10	7	1	2	+9	22
5	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+5	21
6	Bodo/Glimt	11	5	5	1	+18	20
7	Stromsgodset	11	6	2	3	+8	20
8	Viking	10	5	3	2	+9	18
9	Haugesund	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Odd	11	5	0	6	-3	15
11	Ham-Kam	11	3	5	3	+1	14
12	Aalesund	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	1	6	-2	13
14	Jerv	11	4	1	6	-9	13
15	Kristiansund	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Sandefjord	11	1	4	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	8	2	0	+12	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	0	3	+9	21
3	Lillestrom	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Sandefjord	11	5	0	6	-5	15
5	Odd	11	4	3	4	-7	15
6	Rosenborg	11	3	5	3	+2	14
7	Valerenga	11	4	2	5	-2	14
8	Aalesund	11	3	3	5	-7	12
9	Viking	11	3	2	6	-7	11
10	Ham-Kam	10	1	6	3	-2	9
11	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	0	7	-4	9
12	Stromsgodset	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Haugesund	10	2	2	6	-4	8
14	Tromso	11	0	6	5	-11	6
15	Kristiansund	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Jerv	10	0	1	9	-24	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.