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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Ferreira

Arouca

T S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Boavista

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,6

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 11. · Boavista 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+15	13
4	Portimonense	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Casa Pia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Guimaraes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Boavista	5	3	0	2	-2	9
9	Chaves	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Estoril	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Arouca	5	2	1	2	-8	7
12	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Famalicao	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	0	6	-10	0
18	Maritimo	5	0	0	5	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Chaves	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
10	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Rio Ave	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.