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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
AZ Alkmaar
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Twente
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,6
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +17 15
3 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 +7 13
5 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
6 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
8 Utrecht 6 2 2 2 -1 8
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 -4 8
10 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
11 Nijmegen 6 1 4 1 +2 7
12 Waalwijk 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Vitesse 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Volendam 6 1 1 4 -13 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Twente
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
33′
41′
🔁 W. Brama
↦ M. Kjølø
Half-time 0–0
Jordy Clasie 🟨
46′
1–0 J. Odgaard
54′
58′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ M. Vlap
58′
🔁 V. Misidjan
↦ C. Tzolis
Y. Sugawara 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
61′
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
61′
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
78′
Y. Barası 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
79′
79′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ V. Černý
81′
M. Ugalde 1–1
J. Brenet
89′
🟨 Mees Hilgers
92′
🟨 Virgil Misidjan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
22 M. Dekker D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
18 H. Evjen M
10 D. de Wit M
19 M. van Brederode M
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (10)
23 M. Lahdo
2 Y. Sugawara
34 M. de Wit
25 R. Bazoer
17 Y. Barası
1 P. Vindahl
32 F. de Jong
13 S. Westerveld
14 P. Koopmeiners
27 Z. Vanheusden

Coach: P. Jansen

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
21 M. Kjølø M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
19 C. Tzolis F
Bench (12)
6 W. Brama
11 D. Rots
10 V. Misidjan
27 M. Ugalde
17 A. Salah-Eddine
38 M. Bruns
43 J. Haakmat
24 L. Everink
32 C. Staring
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
26 D. Cleonise

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U ✓
3,52
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.