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Serie B

Referee: G Camplone

Genoa

T S S U S

3–3

Full-time

Parma

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

7 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 6. · Parma 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Frosinone	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Ascoli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Benevento	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Genoa	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cagliari	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Bari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
10	Parma	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Spal	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Palermo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Modena	4	1	0	3	+0	3
17	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Perugia	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Sudtirol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ascoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ternana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Modena	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Como	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bari	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Reggina	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Spal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Como	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Perugia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sudtirol	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.