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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Twente
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
5,3
Scored
2,0
3,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,3
6,8
Scored
2,0
5,5
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+4,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +17 12
3 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Twente 4 3 0 1 +7 9
6 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Excelsior 4 2 0 2 -5 6
8 Nijmegen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
10 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
13 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
14 Volendam 4 1 1 2 -8 4
15 Waalwijk 4 0 3 1 -1 3
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 For Sittard 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente PSV Eindhoven
1–0 V. Černý
G. Smal
17′
2–0 V. Černý
24′
Robin Pröpper 🟨
27′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 A. El Ghazi
↦ J. Bakayoko
55′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ G. Til
55′
G. Til 2–1
56′
🔁 P. Mwene
↦ J. Teze
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ V. Černý
61′
W. Brama 🔁
↦ D. Rots
62′
74′
🟨 Philipp Max
76′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
76′
🔁 K. Hoever
↦ P. Max
87′
🔁 Sávio
↦ I. Sangaré
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
11 D. Rots M
8 R. Zerrouki M
21 M. Kjølø M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
19 C. Tzolis F
Bench (11)
10 V. Misidjan
6 W. Brama
26 D. Cleonise
22 P. Tytoń
17 A. Salah-Eddine
32 C. Staring
16 I. El Maach
43 J. Haakmat
38 M. Bruns
24 L. Everink
27 M. Ugalde

Coach: R. Jans

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
4 A. Obispo D
31 P. Max D
20 G. Til M
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
27 J. Bakayoko F
7 X. Simons F
11 C. Gakpo F
Bench (11)
21 A. El Ghazi
32 Y. Vertessen
29 P. Mwene
2 K. Hoever
33 Sávio
22 J. Branthwaite
28 I. Saibari
37 R. Ledezma
16 J. Drommel
15 É. Gutiérrez
24 B. Waterman

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,75
U
3,83
B
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.