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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Real Madrid
U U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Betis
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Betis 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Betis 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Girona 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Valencia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Betis
1–0 Vinícius Júnior
D. Alaba
9′
11′
🔁 Luiz Henrique
↦ N. Fekir
17′
Sergio Canales 1–1
Borja Iglesias
25′
🟨 Edgar González
Half-time 1–1
F. Valverde 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
63′
2–1 Rodrygo
F. Valverde
65′
71′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Juanmi
71′
🔁 Willian José
↦ A. Guardado
71′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Y. Sabaly
T. Kroos 🔁
↦ L. Modrić
80′
Dani Ceballos 🔁
↦ Rodrygo
80′
A. Rüdiger 🔁
↦ Carvajal
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
2 Carvajal D
3 Éder Militão D
4 D. Alaba D
23 F. Mendy D
10 L. Modrić M
18 A. Tchouaméni M
12 E. Camavinga M
21 Rodrygo F
9 K. Benzema F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (11)
15 F. Valverde
8 T. Kroos
19 Dani Ceballos
22 A. Rüdiger
6 Nacho
11 Asensio
13 A. Lunin
24 M. Díaz
26 Luis López
7 E. Hazard
17 Lucas Vázquez

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
19 Luiz Felipe D
3 Edgar González D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 G. Rodríguez M
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
8 N. Fekir M
7 Juanmi M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (11)
11 Luiz Henrique
17 Joaquín
12 Willian José
24 Aitor Ruibal
28 Rodri
25 Dani Martín
6 Víctor Ruíz
1 C. Bravo
33 Juan Miranda
2 Martín Montoya
21 Loren Morón

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
5,13
B
6,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.