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Super League
Referee: Stavros Tsimenteridis
3–3
Full-time
PAOK
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
7 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 15. · PAOK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 AEK 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 PAOK 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Aris Thessalonikis 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Aris 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Levadeiakos 5 2 1 2 +3 7
7 Panetolikos 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Kifisia 6 2 1 3 +0 7
9 Volos NFC 6 2 0 4 -5 6
10 Atromitos 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Larisa 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 OFI Crete 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Panserraikos 6 0 3 3 -8 3
14 Panathinaikos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Asteras Tripolis 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
1–0 F. Macheda ⚽
Munoz Mumo
7′
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
19′
21′
⚽ K. Despodov 1–1
26′
⚽ G. Konstantelias 1–2
Taison
28′
🟨 Jonjoe Kenny
33′
ℹ️ Fedor Chalov
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Dani Fernández 🟨
34′
34′
⚽ F. Chalov 1–3
40′
🟨 Mady Camara
2–3 D. Emmanouilidis ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–3
Dimitris Emmanouilidis 🟨
47′
53′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ M. Camara
53′
🔁 A. Zivkovic
↦ Taison
Konstantinos Pomonis 🟨
56′
J. Bartolo 🔁
↦ E. Gonzalez
63′
N. Gioacchini 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
63′
65′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
67′
🟨 Andrija Živković
C. Almyras 🔁
↦ O. Alagbe
70′
70′
🔁 L. Ivanusec
↦ K. Despodov
70′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ F. Chalov
3–3 N. Gioacchini ⚽
D. Emmanouilidis
74′
Miguel Muñoz Mora 🟨
84′
G. Charalampoglou 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
85′
K. Ketu 🔁
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
86′
Konstantinos Pomonis 🟨
90′
Konstantinos Pomonis 🟥
90′
Kalvin Ketu 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
72 D. Fernandez D
2 R. Ivanov D
3 N. Sipcic D
29 K. Pomonis D
69 O. Alagbe
10 E. Gonzalez M
20 N. Kaltsas M
22 Munoz Mumo M
11 D. Emmanouilidis M
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (12)
16 P. Tsintotas
91 T. Kakadiaris
7 J. Bartolo
5 E. Yablonskiy
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos
40 K. Ketu
17 N. Alho
19 P. Castano
68 C. Almyras
23 L. Frroku
49 G. Charalampoglou
9 N. Gioacchini

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

PAOK

4-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
6 D. Lovren D
32 G. Taylor D
77 K. Despodov M
8 S. Meite M
2 M. Camara M
11 Taison M
65 G. Konstantelias F
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (12)
99 A. Tsiftsis
88 L. Gugeshashvili
23 J. Sastre
4 A. Vogliacco
5 G. Michailidis
21 A. R. Baba
27 M. Ozdoev
22 A. Bianco
18 L. Ivanusec
52 D. Chatsidis
14 A. Zivkovic
7 G. Giakoumakis

Coach: Răzvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,66
U ✓
3,78
B
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.