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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Odd
T S S T S
0–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
39%
72%
Both score Ø 53%
33%
72%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,41 xG 1,58
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 7. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 18 13 2 3 +24 +6.8 41
2 Viking 18 13 2 3 +17 +2.6 41
3 Tromso 17 11 3 3 +11 +1.4 36
4 Molde 18 10 3 5 +20 +8.1 33
5 Brann 18 9 3 6 +7 -2.9 30
6 Lillestrom 18 9 2 7 +5 +4.2 29
7 Odd 18 7 4 7 +2 +1.7 25
8 Rosenborg 18 7 4 7 -2 +1.3 25
9 Sarpsborg 08 18 7 3 8 -3 +0.1 24
10 Stromsgodset 18 7 2 9 -1 -3.9 23
11 Haugesund 18 5 4 9 -9 -2.7 19
12 Ham-Kam 18 6 1 11 -17 -6.3 19
13 Sandefjord 17 4 5 8 -8 -9.9 17
14 Stabaek 17 4 4 9 -12 +0.8 16
15 Valerenga 17 4 3 10 -8 -2.1 15
16 Aalesund 18 3 1 14 -26 +0.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Sarpsborg 08
38′
M. Maigaard 0–1
E. Wichne
Half-time 0–1
F. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ O. Midtskogen
46′
Josef Baccay ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
47′
53′
M. Maigaard 0–2
R. Lundqvist
J. Skau 🔁
↦ L. Hien
55′
59′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ A. Skipper
59′
🔁 R. Zekhnini
↦ N. Sandberg
Espen Ruud 🟨
61′
F. Tewelde 🔁
↦ T. Rekdal
76′
B. Bang-Kittelsen 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
77′
77′
🔁 S. Martinsson Ngouali
↦ K. Opseth
84′
🟨 Ramon Pascal Lundqvist
87′
ℹ️ Jarik Sundling
VAR: Goal cancelled
87′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ R. Lundqvist
87′
🔁 H. Meister
↦ V. Torp
Steffen Hagen 🟨
88′
92′
H. Meister 0–3
S. Martinsson Ngouali
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Odd

3-4-3
1 P. Kristian Bråtveit G
4 L. Hien D
21 S. Hagen D
5 D. Tomas D
2 E. Ruud M
20 T. Rekdal M
6 L. Owusu M
3 J. Baccay M
24 D. Gjengaar F
11 O. Midtskogen F
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
Bench (9)
7 F. Jørgensen
26 J. Skau
19 F. Tewelde
29 B. Bang-Kittelsen
23 A. Ryste
16 C. Glenna
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
22 Z. Mugeese
13 S. Skjeldal

Coach: P. Johansen

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
12 J. Sundling G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
8 J. Andersen M
29 V. Torp M
23 N. Sandberg M
10 R. Lundqvist M
25 M. Maigaard M
22 K. Opseth F
Bench (9)
5 M. Ødegaard
98 R. Zekhnini
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali
15 S. Skålevik
19 H. Meister
11 S. Tibbling
21 A. Kristiansen
72 S. Christiansen
3 Arnau Casas

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.