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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Wolfsburg
T S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Heidenheim
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,18 xG 1,18
48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wolfsburg Heidenheim
1–0 J. Wind
6′
2–0 J. Wind
M. Svanberg
27′
32′
🔁 O. Traoré
↦ M. Busch
Yannick Gerhardt 🟨
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Thomalla
↦ A. Beck
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
50′
58′
🔁 N. Dovedan
↦ E. Dinkçi
58′
🔁 K. Sessa
↦ M. Pieringer
Tiago Tomás 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
66′
J. Kamiński 🔁
↦ V. Černý
66′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ L. Majer
66′
84′
🔁 S. Schimmer
↦ L. Maloney
N. Cozza 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
87′
K. Paredes 🔁
↦ R. Baku
91′
Aster Vranckx 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 C. Zesiger D
21 J. Mæhle D
32 M. Svanberg M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
19 L. Majer M
7 V. Černý F
23 J. Wind F
39 P. Wimmer F
Bench (9)
11 Tiago Tomás
16 J. Kamiński
6 A. Vranckx
8 N. Cozza
40 K. Paredes
25 M. Jenz
18 D. Pejčinović
3 S. Bornauw
12 P. Pervan

Coach: N. Kovač

Heidenheim

4-1-3-2
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
33 L. Maloney M
8 E. Dinkçi M
21 A. Beck M
17 F. Pick M
10 T. Kleindienst F
18 M. Pieringer F
Bench (9)
23 O. Traoré
11 D. Thomalla
20 N. Dovedan
16 K. Sessa
9 S. Schimmer
30 N. Theuerkauf
5 B. Gimber
3 J. Schöppner
22 V. Eicher

Coach: F. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,31
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.