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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Almeria

S T U U T

1–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,33 xG 1,98

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 24

8 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 20. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
2	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
5	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
9	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
10	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
12	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
13	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
19	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
20	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
3	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
5	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
7	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
8	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
9	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
10	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
11	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
12	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
2	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
12	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
13	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.