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Copa del Rey
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
0–2
Full-time
Tenerife
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Mollerussa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
31 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
37 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lealtad Tenerife
3′
Alassán 0–1
Andoni López
28′
🔁 Nacho Martínez
↦ Andoni López
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 José Jurado
↦ Javi Alonso
Rafael Felgueroso 🔁
↦ Zucu
61′
Álvaro Viña 🔁
↦ Javier Meana
61′
Pablo Menéndez 🔁
↦ Monti
61′
63′
🔁 Teto
↦ Alassán
63′
🔁 Aitor Buñuel
↦ José León
69′
🔁 Sergio González
↦ David Rodríguez
Diego Montequín 🔁
↦ Marcos Blanco
78′
S. Orviz 🟨
83′
84′
Elady Zorrilla 0–2
Colo 🔁
↦ Adrián Llano
85′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lealtad

1 Javi Porrón
18 Miguel Obaya
3 Sergio Orviz
15 Monti
22 Adrián Llano
20 Agus Porto
6 Marcos Blanco
8 Javier Meana
7 Zucu
10 Ivanchu
14 Adrián Díaz
Bench (9)
5 Rafael Felgueroso
9 Álvaro Viña
2 Pablo Menéndez
19 Diego Montequín
4 Colo
16 Iván Amandi
17 Dani Dindura
13 Alejandro Fueyo
23 Mateo Garcia

Coach: Christian

Tenerife

13 Javi Díaz
4 José León
23 N. Šipčić
12 Andoni López
26 David Rodríguez
7 Elady Zorrilla
15 Pablo Larrea
8 Javi Alonso
21 A. Appiah
9 Borja Garcés
27 Alassán
Bench (9)
24 Nacho Martínez
20 José Jurado
31 Teto
2 Aitor Buñuel
5 Sergio González
34 Daniel Selma
30 Victor
19 Iván Romero
29 Cacho

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.