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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Varberg
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Oster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 31/1 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
58%
100%
Both score Ø 74%
48%
100%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 30 18 10 2 +32 64
2 Djurgarden 30 17 6 7 +30 57
3 Hammarby 30 16 8 6 +33 56
4 Kalmar 30 15 6 9 +14 51
5 AIK 30 14 8 8 +9 50
6 Elfsborg 30 13 10 7 +20 49
7 Malmo FF 30 13 7 10 +10 46
8 Goteborg 30 14 3 13 +3 45
9 Mjallby 30 11 10 9 +0 43
10 Varnamo 30 9 10 11 -13 37
11 Sirius 30 9 8 13 -11 35
12 Norrkoping 30 8 10 12 -2 34
13 Varberg 31 9 7 15 -25 34
14 Degerfors 30 7 10 13 -17 31
15 Helsingborg 30 4 5 21 -30 17
16 Sundsvall 30 4 2 24 -52 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Nov -22 Oster – Varberg 1–2

Match report

Varberg Oster
11′
🟨 Adam Bergmark Wiberg
1–0 R. Tranberg
O. Alfonsi
26′
Half-time 1–0
Oliver Alfonsi 🟨
49′
Eric Alexander Johansson 🟨
57′
Ismet Lushaku 🟨
62′
Filipe Sissé 🔁
↦ O. Alfonsi
64′
F. Bohman 🔁
↦ I. Lushaku
64′
64′
🔁 M. Rochester
↦ T. Varmanen
66′
J. Westermark 1–1
V. Rodić
O. Stanisic 🔁
↦ A. Johansson
70′
Eliton Júnior 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
71′
2–1 T. Carlsson
J. Lindner
75′
76′
🔁 M. Adolfsson
↦ D. Kozica
76′
🔁 J. Drott
↦ M. Pavic
76′
🔁 E. Engqvist
↦ M. Kusu
Andre Boman 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Alex Þór Hauksson
78′
🟨 John Stenberg
95′
🟨 Mattis Adolfsson
G. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Boman
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Varberg

4-3-3
42 S. Lukic G
18 J. Lindner D
20 T. Carlsson D
23 A. Liljenbäck D
7 R. Tranberg M
8 L. Le Roux M
17 I. Lushaku M
22 A. Boman D
14 O. Alfonsi F
9 R. Simović F
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (7)
21 Filipe Sissé
19 F. Bohman
4 O. Stanisic
11 Eliton Júnior
15 G. Mensah
3 H. Zackrisson
29 F. Andersson

Coach: J. Persson

Oster

4-2-3-1
25 M. Nilsson G
3 M. Berg D
4 J. Stenberg D
33 T. Varmanen D
2 M. Pavic D
23 V. Rodić M
8 A. Hauksson M
22 M. Kusu M
7 D. Kozica M
10 J. Westermark F
19 A. Wiberg M
Bench (7)
9 M. Rochester
5 M. Adolfsson
18 J. Drott
15 E. Engqvist
16 I. Magnusson
12 V. Štulić
20 A. Zahirovic

Coach: S. Tufegdzic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.