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Copa del Rey

Referee: Armando Ramo

Arnedo

1–1

Full-time

Atlético Baleares

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
31	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
14	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arnedo Atlético Baleares

34′

⚽ U. Adighibe 0–1

Óscar Sánchez

41′

🟨 M. Cordero

Half-time 0–1

Carlos Sagüés 🔁

↦ Javi Moreno

59′

Míchel González 🔁

↦ Alejandro Morales

59′

60′

🟨 O. Sanchez

65′

🔁 Víctor Pastrana

↦ Toni Ramón

65′

🔁 Laure

↦ Óscar Sánchez

65′

🔁 Alfonso Martín

↦ Cordero

1–1 Arpón ⚽

Chacón

74′

C. Sagues 🟨

77′

🔁 D. Petcoff

↦ Carlos Ramos

82′

🔁 Dioni

↦ U. Adighibe

Guillermo Amelivia 🔁

↦ Eduardo Laencina

85′

Iván Pascual 🔁

↦ Xabi Barace

85′

90′

🔁 Miguelete Ramírez

↦ Canario

David Sevilla 🔁

↦ Imanol Arana

112′

Chacón ❌

penalty missed

121′

122′

❌ Alfonso Martín

penalty missed

Álex Maestresalas ❌

penalty missed

123′

124′

⚽ Miguelete Ramírez 1–2

2–2 Sergio Benito ⚽

125′

126′

⚽ Dioni 2–3

3–3 Guillermo Amelivia ⚽

127′

128′

⚽ Kaxe 3–4

4–4 Míchel González ⚽

129′

130′

❌ Víctor Pastrana

penalty missed

5–4 Iván Pascual ⚽

131′

132′

❌ Iñaki Olaortua

penalty missed

Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Arnedo

1 Pablo Pascual

5 Álex Maestresalas

3 Eduardo Laencina

4 Chacón

21 Javi Moreno

14 Xabi Barace

6 Arpón

8 Raúl Almagro

18 Imanol Arana

11 Sergio Benito

15 Alejandro Morales

Bench (9)

22 Carlos Sagüés

10 Míchel González

16 Guillermo Amelivia

19 Iván Pascual

20 David Sevilla

17 Aleix Viladot

12 Jorge Arechavaleta

13 Gorka Alegría

24 David Ruiz

Coach: Alberto Eguizabal

Atlético Baleares

1 Lucas Díaz

23 David Forniés

4 Iñaki Olaortua

16 K. Sibille

27 Óscar Sánchez

8 Cordero

20 Carlos Ramos

28 Toni Ramón

10 Canario

19 U. Adighibe

9 Kaxe

Bench (9)

11 Víctor Pastrana

2 Laure

6 Alfonso Martín

21 D. Petcoff

17 Dioni

30 Miguelete Ramírez

7 Hugo Rodríguez

13 René

18 Lucas de Vega

Coach: Jordi Roger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Arnedo

Atlético Baleares

Odds comparison

Recent matches