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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Heerenveen
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Cambuur
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 24%
33%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
42%
38%
Both score Ø 24%
33%
15%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Cambuur 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 9 3 2 +27 30
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 0 4 +22 30
3 Feyenoord 13 9 3 1 +18 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 9 2 3 +9 29
5 Twente 12 8 2 2 +16 26
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Nijmegen 14 3 8 3 +3 17
9 Heerenveen 12 4 5 3 +1 17
10 Waalwijk 14 4 5 5 -3 17
11 Go Ahead Eagles 13 3 5 5 -3 14
12 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 -17 13
13 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 -8 12
14 Groningen 13 3 3 7 -11 12
15 Vitesse 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 FC Emmen 14 2 5 7 -14 11
17 Cambuur 13 2 2 9 -12 8
18 Volendam 14 1 3 10 -26 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Cambuur
10′
J. Jacobs 0–1
A. Bangura
Sydney van Hooijdonk 🟨
33′
Sven van Beek 🟨
33′
1–1 A. Sarr
A. Tahiri
36′
38′
🟨 Leon Bergsma
Half-time 1–1
68′
🔁 R. Balk
↦ S. van der Water
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ R. Al Hajj
79′
2–1 A. Tahiri
81′
Anas Tahiri 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 R. Uldriķis
↦ C. Mac-Intosch
83′
🔁 M. Breij
↦ J. Jacobs
88′
🔁 D. Sambissa
↦ L. Bergsma
90′
🟨 Alex Bangura
J. van Aken 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
91′
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ S. Olsson
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
44 A. Noppert G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 S. van Beek D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
22 R. Al Hajj M
19 S. Olsson F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
9 A. Sarr F
Bench (10)
13 R. Kaib
3 J. van Aken
29 A. Colassin
15 H. Ali
6 S. van Ottele
34 T. Zaal
10 T. Halilović
23 J. Bekkema
1 X. Mous
8 A. Timossi Andersson

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Cambuur

5-3-2
1 João Virgínia G
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
15 M. Tol D
4 L. Bergsma D
16 A. Bangura D
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
10 M. Paulissen M
9 T. Boere F
11 S. van der Water F
Bench (11)
30 R. Balk
28 R. Uldriķis
14 M. Breij
18 D. Sambissa
33 F. Smand
27 S. Sylla
7 F. Mambimbi
21 D. van Kaam
12 R. Ruiter
22 J. van der Meer
31 B. Minnema

Coach: P. Bosschaart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,81
B
4,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.