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Copa del Rey
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Algar
S
1–6
Full-time
Celta
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Algar Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,0
2,8
Scored
4,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
43 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
58 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
59 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Algar Celta
H. rachiq 🟨
12′
1–0 Cristian Muñoz ⚽
15′
C. Munoz 🟨
22′
34′
🔁 J. Strand Larsen
↦ Pablo Durán
35′
🔁 F. Cervi
↦ W. Swedberg
35′
⚽ F. Cervi 1–1
Carles Pérez
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 R. Tapia
55′
⚽ Carles Pérez 1–2
Carlos Domínguez
Matias Nicolas 🔁
↦ H. Rachiq
56′
59′
⚽ Óscar Rodríguez 1–3
F. Cervi
62′
⚽ J. Strand Larsen 1–4
Javi Galán
Jawad Benhari 🔁
↦ Jorge Valero
65′
Carlos Gomez-Vizcaino 🔁
↦ Nicolás Carrasco
65′
C. Gomez 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 Miguel Rodríguez
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
70′
🔁 Gabri Veiga
↦ Carles Pérez
71′
🔁 Kevin Vázquez
↦ Óscar Mingueza
Daniel Pagán 🔁
↦ Ketchup
72′
Javi Roca 🔁
↦ Nono
72′
84′
⚽ Javi Galán 1–5
91′
⚽ Kevin Vázquez 1–6
J. Strand Larsen
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Algar

1 Juanma Conesa
4 Jorge Valero
5 Cristian Muñoz
2 Íñigo Martínez
3 Juan Acosta
12 M. Moghli
8 H. Rachiq
10 Ketchup
19 Nono
11 Nicolás Carrasco
7 C. Ventura
Bench (11)
15 Matias Nicolas
21 Jawad Benhari
17 Carlos Gomez-Vizcaino
6 Daniel Pagán
9 Javi Roca
25 Juan Bastida
22 Juan Francisco
13 Diego
14 Jorge
24 Carlos
18 Rubén Ray

Coach: David Bascuñana

Celta

13 Iván Villar
4 Unai Núñez
17 Javi Galán
3 Óscar Mingueza
26 Carlos Domínguez
5 Óscar Rodríguez
8 Fran Beltrán
19 W. Swedberg
9 Gonçalo Paciência
7 Carles Pérez
35 Pablo Durán
Bench (10)
18 J. Strand Larsen
11 F. Cervi
29 Miguel Rodríguez
28 Gabri Veiga
20 Kevin Vázquez
14 R. Tapia
31 Coke Carrillo
1 A. Marchesín
15 J. Aidoo
33 Martín Conde

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.